’The Mandalorian and Grogu’s Crash and Burn Is Not a Verdict for the Larger 'Star Wars' Universe, Says Analyst

Published 06/01/2026, 9:56 AM EDT

Credits: LucasFilm

According to an analyst, The Mandalorian and Grogu’s lackluster box office might not be so detrimental to the Star Wars universe. The film brought the Star Wars franchise back to the theaters, hoping to revive the big-screen magic of the IP that disappeared with the disappointing Solo: A Star Wars Story. Extending its reach beyond the small screen, The Mandalorian was entrusted with this daunting task, as it seemed to be the obvious choice owing to the character's massive popularity in streaming. 

But it appears that The Mandalorian and Grogu have been failing at the box office, and it might cast a shadow of doubt on future theatrical releases from the franchise. Not according to an analyst who thinks otherwise.

Analyst does not sweat Star Wars future over The Mandalorian & Grogu failure

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Disney's Star Wars spinoff, The Mandalorian and Grogu, saw a disastrous 70% decline in its second weekend, indicating that the franchise is not appealing to a wider demographic beyond its core audience. The Mandalorian and Grogu finished third on the weekend charts, behind Backrooms and Obsession, despite being shown on a lot more screens. This is a worrisome situation for not just the film but the franchise as a whole.

“Weekend two had to be big, but ‘Mandalorian and Grogu’ just crashed and burned. That’s more of a reception of this film than the larger ‘Star Wars’ universe,” said analyst Jeff Bock of Exhibitor Relations.

According to Jeff Bock, the film’s subpar reception would not reflect on the future theatrical releases of the Star Wars franchise, and there is a reason for that. The Star Wars movie has made $246.6 million worldwide and $137.4 million domestically so far. Cinema operators, who knew Disney could have pulled The Mandalorian and Grogu on its streaming service, believe it has made money.

In addition to the massive sales of Grogu toys, movie theaters provide an additional source of income for the company, which paid $165 million to make the space opera spinoff. In the meantime, the corporation hopes that Star Wars: Starfighter, an original adventure helmed by Shawn Levy and starring Ryan Gosling, will mark a new beginning for the studio next summer.

'The Mandalorian & Grogu' Secures $100M U.S. Opening Amid Debates Over a "Bungled" Big-Screen Leap

As The Mandalorian and Grogu continue their disappointing run at the box office, everyone’s gaze has already shifted to Star Wars: Starfighter.

Why Star Wars: Starfighter is the franchise’s last hope

Perhaps the first truly original film in the franchise since 1977's A New Hope, Star Wars: Starfighter has the potential to shape the future of the Galaxy far, far away. It would be a breath of fresh air to see a standalone movie with totally new characters as compared to a streak of sequels and prequels from the universe.

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Another thing going on for the movie is the first-ever collaboration between Hollywood powerhouse Ryan Gosling and Deadpool & Wolverine director Shawn Levy. The film is slated for a May 2027 release and is currently in production. The movie might just end up doing what The Mandalorian and Grogu failed to do for the franchise - give a definitive big-screen blockbuster.

Jon Favreau Reveals Future Plans for Star Wars Universe After 'The Mandalorian and Grogu'

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Do you agree with the argument that The Mandalorian and Grogu’s box office performance will not adversely impact the overall future of the franchise? Share your thoughts.   

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Harshit Kumar

393 articles

With nearly two years of experience in content writing, primarily in sports, Harshit has now ventured into the alluring alleys of Hollywood at NetflixJunkie. A true pop-culture fanatic and a certified cheat code for movie trivia night, he brings infectious enthusiasm to every conversation. He has strong opinions about everything from uplifting superhero spectacles to gripping psychological crime dramas, and he is never shy about backing them up.

Edited By: Hriddhi Maitra

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