Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu is targeting a $90M four-day Memorial Day opening, and Disney is already watching the numbers with one very hopeful eye on the galaxy. The Jon Favreau-directed theatrical debut of Din Djarin and Grogu is rolling out across 4,300 theaters this holiday weekend. Presale momentum and strong early audience scores suggest the Force may well be with Disney's latest big-screen ambition.

While Solo: A Star Wars Story offers a familiar blueprint, the premium format rollout and demographic breakdown reveal just how deliberately Disney has engineered this opening weekend.

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu is eyeing an $80M three-day and $90M four-day domestic debut at the box office (via Deadline). Thursday previews landed at $12M, drawing natural comparisons to Solo: A Star Wars Story, which earned $14.1M in previews before opening to $103M over four days in 2018. The audience score on Rotten Tomatoes currently sits at a healthy 88%, while critics land at 64% fresh, a gap that suggests casual viewers are responding far warmer than the press.

The film is playing across the full premium format suite, including 425 IMAX screens, alongside 4DX, ScreenX, and 3D. Demographics from Thursday night skewed male at 67%, with the over-35 crowd making up 48% of attendees. Women over 25 gave the film its highest grade at 96%, which is a quietly telling number for a franchise that has historically leaned hard on its male fanbase.

George Lucas Had a Much Darker Backup Plan if 'Star Wars: The Empire Strikes Back' Failed at the Box Office

While the demographics and premium screens tell one story, the real intrigue lies in what Lucasfilm has quietly left unresolved by the final credits.

Lucasfilm has kept its sequel cards extremely close to the chest, and the ending of the film does nothing to contradict that caution. Din Djarin and Grogu essentially return to square one by the credits, with no cliffhanger demanding an immediate follow-up. That narrative flexibility is entirely deliberate, leaving room for a Season 4, a direct sequel, or a Thrawn-centered crossover depending on how the box office performs.

Jon Favreau had originally developed a fourth Mandalorian season before Lucasfilm pivoted toward theatrical storytelling, and those scripts remain in a state of productive limbo. The film's reset-button ending means Lucasfilm can pursue any direction the numbers justify. A $90M-plus opening this weekend may well be the most decisive vote cast for Din and Grogu's cinematic future.

Every 'Star Wars' Movie & TV Show You Need to Watch Before 'The Mandalorian and Grogu' in Theatres This Friday

What are your thoughts on Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu's box office prospects this Memorial Day weekend? Let us know in the comments.