Ranking Every Oscar Best Picture Nominee Based on Their Box Office Success

The Academy awards have assembled a dinner party where racers, vampires, and grief all are going to be bringing receipts to the glamorous night. Ryan Coogler’s Sinners arrived with sixteen nominations, and Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another with thirteen are just two names headlining the extremely marvelous lineup of the Best Picture nominations this year.
While arguments rage over acting and story, box office numbers cannot be ignored, some films made their voices unmistakably heard.
1. F1
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Financially, F1 dominates the nominee field, delivering Apple its first true theatrical blockbuster. With a production and marketing burden nearing $300 million, profitability required scale. Crossing $600 million worldwide turned prestige ambition into commercial validation rather than indulgence.
Joseph Kosinski stages F1 as both a technical spectacle and a controlled star vehicle for Brad Pitt. The film follows retired driver Sonny Hayes mentoring rookie Joshua Pearce inside the fictional APXGP team. Authentic race-weekend filming grounds the drama in real Formula One texture.
2. Sinners
Commercially, Sinners is the most efficient nominee. Produced for under $100 million, it achieved a four-times return and entered the upper tier of all-time horror earners. Prestige and profit rarely cooperate this cleanly.
Ryan Coogler situates Sinners in Jim Crow–era Mississippi, where twin brothers Smoke and Stack Moore confront both racial terror and literal vampires. Michael B. Jordan’s dual performance anchors the film, while blues mythology and genre violence operate in deliberate tandem.
3. One Battle After Another
Despite crossing $200 million, the film qualifies as a financial disappointment. A production cost exceeding $150 million and extensive marketing left Warner Bros. facing substantial losses, proving that artistic scale does not guarantee fiscal alignment, and it lost the screen war.
Paul Thomas Anderson adapts Thomas Pynchon loosely, following ex-radical Bob Ferguson as political violence resurfaces through his endangered daughter. Leonardo DiCaprio leads a dense ensemble that treats paranoia as an inheritance rather than a plot device.
4. Marty Supreme
For A24, the performance was exceptional. Crossing $100 million worldwide during awards expansion made it the studio’s highest domestic earner, confirming that niche subject matter can scale when star power and timing align.
Marty Supreme fictionalizes a mid-century ping-pong champion, framing obsessive discipline as both triumph and pathology. Timothée Chalamet plays Marty Mauser with nervous precision, while the film treats competitive sport as personal theater rather than spectacle.
5. Hamnet
Box office returns for Hamnet were modest, with an estimated $42.6 million. The film narrowly covered its production budget theatrically, leaving profitability dependent on ancillary markets. Its awards traction outpaced its commercial footprint.
Chloé Zhao adapts Maggie O’Farrell’s novel with restraint, centering Agnes Shakespeare as grief reshapes domestic life. Jessie Buckley and Paul Mescal deliver performances defined by silence, gesture, and emotional accumulation rather than narrative momentum.
6. Bugonia
Financially, the film underperformed with an estimated budget of $41.6 million. With a budget approaching $50 million, theatrical returns failed to recoup costs, continuing Lanthimos’s pattern of critical favor outpacing mainstream attendance.
Yorgos Lanthimos remakes Save the Green Planet! as an American conspiracy farce, pairing Emma Stone and Jesse Plemons in a story about corporate power mistaken for alien invasion. Absurdism operates as critique, not ornament.
7. Sentimental Value
With a budget under $8 million, the film proved highly profitable. Its modest theatrical gross delivered a strong return ratio, validating NEON’s emphasis on controlled scale and critical resonance.
Joachim Trier explores familial estrangement through an actress negotiating grief and paternal manipulation. Renate Reinsve leads with precision, supported by Stellan Skarsgård and Elle Fanning in sharply defined emotional roles.
8. The Secret Agent
Its theatrical footprint was limited to an estinate $6.8 million. Earnings barely exceeded production costs, but international acclaim and dual Oscar recognition elevated its cultural value beyond revenue metrics.
Set in dictatorship-era Brazil, The Secret Agent follows a low-level bureaucrat drawn into revolutionary danger. Wagner Moura carries the film with restrained intensity, allowing political dread to accumulate through implication rather than action.
9. Frankenstein
Frankenstein being a Netflix release, no tickets were sold, and none were required. Prestige arrived through conversation, not queues, which suits a creature accustomed to being observed from a distance.
Guillermo del Toro reimagines Mary Shelley through gothic intimacy, emphasizing Victor Frankenstein’s obsession and the Creature’s isolation. Oscar Isaac and Jacob Elordi frame creation as tragedy rather than horror exhibition.
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10. Train Dreams
Being a netflix release, Train Dreams follows Frankenstein's lead. This story prefers memory to money, and Netflix obliged without argument. Adapted from Denis Johnson’s novella, Train Dreams traces laborer Robert Grainier’s life against an evolving American frontier. Joel Edgerton delivers a performance built on endurance, with Felicity Jones providing emotional counterweight.
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Which of these movies are you rooting for? Let us know in the comments!
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Edited By: Hriddhi Maitra
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